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I wanted to choose one Oriole for this exercise whose numbers are projected to improve. The reality, as least as Baseball Prospectus sees it, is that most of the key players on the team will see their stats worsen in 2013.
Hardy is an exception.
His slash line decreased from .269/.310/.491 in 2011 to .238/.282/.389 in 2012.
PECOTA sees it rising back to .254/.307./.423 in 2013. The book also has him at 23 homers, 75 RBIs and 44 walks in 642 plate appearances this year -- after he had 22 homers, 68 RBIs and 38 walks in 713 PAs last season
They're not massive jumps, but compared to the projections for other Orioles starters, it sure seems like it.
Do you agree...
February 22, 2013